Inter Financial Weblog

 

Archive for June, 2008

Credit Crunch will hurt youngest most

Monday, June 30th, 2008

One of the benefits of being old has to be experience: the credit crunch that most people are experiencing with the UK’s economy has all been witnessed before. What is going on today with financial institutions last happened in the early 1990s, but even before that the older generation have witnessed times when wanting something meant saving up, not taking out yet another cheap loan.

Whilst we hope a full blown recession won’t be seen, the boom times seem to be definitely at an end for now and that means a change in financial habits. We are finally getting a wake up call that we cannot continue to borrow indefinitely and have to live without some of the things that we feel entitled to.

This adjustment should not be too difficult to take on board for older generations, but it might be a bit more of a tough adjustment for younger people. The young will have little recollection of the late eighties when the economy last went into recession and no memory of the days when loans were something only for businesses or buying a house.

The nation as a whole has grown used to the concept of regular holidays, new cars as a luxury, not a necessity, and splashing out on meals and clothes whenever the need takes. However, for many of those older than the ‘baby boomers’ (those born post-war), the memories are still fresh of the days of ‘scrimp and save’.

Every generation has seen greater prosperity in this country and the days of ‘make do and mend’, ‘grow your own’ or clothes made from a penny pattern seem like myth to the youngest adults today.

The concept of going overdrawn was once upon a time considered shocking, and for many of the older generation today that viewpoint still holds. For these people, getting back into old ways of careful budgeting and knowing where every penny has gone will come easily.

For the younger generation, used to falling back on easy credit, or borrowing money to indulge a whim, budgeting is going to come as a sharp shock. The fact is that right now lenders are either unwilling or unable to lend money as lavishly as they used to, so if you don’t look after the money you have, you can’t bank on an easy loan to bail you out.

Chancellor calls for lengthier fixed rate mortgages

Friday, June 27th, 2008

The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Alistair Darling, has indicated that intervention may be needed in order to raise the amount of fixed-rate home loans available lasting up to 25 years.

Mortgage lenders have been accused of lending fixed rate home loans on only a short-term basis in order to maximise their profits. This might be good for the lender but is not good if you are looking for a new mortgage and now the government is considering intervening on the consumer’s behalf.

What lenders are currently doing is negotiating a fixed-rate deal to last only a short period of time and then giving us the option to renegotiate at the end of the period. We as the consumer are then left with the cost of footing the bill for the arrangement fees each time we have to renegotiate.

Although the typical home loan rate is high and still rising, more and more homeowners are looking to change to longer-term fixed-rate mortgages. This gives homeowners more financial stability as it is easier to budget for the future. So far most lenders have only increased the number of short-term fixed-fixed rate loans.

The rest of Europe offers many more fixed rate loans so why do we in Britain not have that option available to us? If the government does intervene homeowners could feel the benefit of much more financial stability as well as not having to face the hassle of going back to the lender every two or three years to renegotiate a new fixed-rate.

How vulnerable is the property market?

Wednesday, June 25th, 2008

While bad news about the property market is easy to come by these days, there must be some good news out there. We round up what economists and experts are saying about the property market.

First of all David Miles, chief UK economist for Morgan Stanley warned that house prices are going to drop by 10% in the coming 12 months. Mr Miles believes that house price growth was largely fuelled by speculation that prices would always continue to rise as well as the belief that the number of people buying properties would increase by 10% in each coming year.

However Mr. Miles also believed that falling house prices would not be such a bad thing for the economy since it would help redress the affordability issue in the market which has spiralled out of control in recent years.

Meanwhile, Capital Economics chief economist Roger Bootle predicted that prices in 2008 would drop by only 3% followed by the same amount in 2009, an optimism that many wish were true.

The reality is that thousands of pounds have alreeady been knocked off the price of the average house in the last six months and prices are set to fall further.

Mr. Bootle says that the drop in house prices has little to do with the credit crunch and more to do with a drop in interested buyers, the number of which have been falling for the past six months. Additionally, with home loan rates still high, despite the three base rate drops since last December, many borrowers are actually unable to get the loan they need to take advantage of lower house prices.

According to Mr. Bootle the two fundamental reasons for the house price slump is the 5 consecutive interest rate rises between August 2006 and July 2007 and the fact that the property market is now too expensive for most potential buyers.

Whatever the reason, there is no doubt that house prices are falling, and in what has been described as an over-inflated market, this is probably no bad thing.